2006-12-14

Sea Level Higher Than Models Predict

Potsdam University
Lead author: Stefan Rahmstorf
Where published: Science Magazine
Global warming could push sea levels about 40 percent higher than current models predict ... observations of changes in sea level collected in the 20th century to make predictions for the 21st century ... results predict that by the end of the century sea level will rise between 20 and 55 inches (50 and 140 centimeters) above 1990 levels ... Reducing greenhouse gas emissions can impact such sea level rise.
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2006-12-11

Arctic Ice Retreat

National Center for Atmospheric Research, U.Washington, McGill U.
Lead author: Marika Holland
Where published: Geophysical Research Letters
The recent retreat of Arctic sea ice is likely to accelerate so rapidly that the Arctic Ocean could become nearly devoid of ice during summertime as early as 2040 ... We have already witnessed major losses in sea ice, but our research suggests that the decrease over the next few decades could be far more dramatic than anything that has happened so far.
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2006-12-06

Reduced Ocean Life Increasing CO2

Oregon State University, UC Santa Barbara
Lead author: Michael Behrenfeld
Where published: Nature
Alarming new satellite data show that the warming of the world's oceans is reducing ocean life while contributing to increased global warming ... The ocean's food chain is based upon the growth of billions upon billions of microscopic plants. New satellite data show that ocean warming is reducing these plants –– thus imperiling ocean fisheries and marine life
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2006-10-04

Global Drought

Hadley Centre for Climate Prediction and Research
Lead Author: Eleanor Burke
Where published: Journal of Hydrometeorology
Drought threatening the lives of millions will spread across half the land surface of the earth in the coming century because of global warming, according to new predictions from Britain's leading climate scientists.

Extreme drought, in which agriculture is effectively impossible, will affect nearly a third of the planet.
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Arctic Ice Retreating

University of Colorado, National Snow and Ice Data Center
Author: Mark Serreze
The total area of surface melt on the Greenland Ice Sheet for 2002 broke all known records for the island and the extent of Arctic sea ice reached the lowest level in the satellite record ... It is likely that sea ice extent will continue to decline over the 21st century as the climate warms. With these trends, we may see an approximate 20 percent reduction in the annual mean sea ice by 2050, and by then we might be approaching no ice at all during the summer months.
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2006-09-25

Ice Cores & Greenhouse Gases

Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Lead author: Thomas Schneider
Where published: Climate Dynamics
Ice Age evidence confirms that a doubling of greenhouse gases could drive up world temperatures by about 3 Celsius (5.4 Fahrenheit), causing havoc with the climate, a study showed on Friday.

The researchers made a novel check of computer climate forecasts about the modern impact of heat-trapping gases, widely blamed on use of fossil fuels, against ice cores and marine sediments from the last Ice Age which ended 10,000 years ago.
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2006-09-13

Sunspots Non Impact

Heliophysics, Max Planck Institute for Astrophysics
Lead author: Peter Foukal
Where published: Nature
Sunspots alter the amount of energy Earth gets from the sun, but not enough to impact global climate change ... The difference in brightness between the high point of a sunspot cycle and its low point is less than 0.1 percent of the sun's total output ... If you run that back in time to the 17th century using sunspot records, you'll find that this amplitude variance is negligible for climate.

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2006-09-06

Siberian Lakes Bubbling Methane

University of Alaska
Lead author: Katey Walter
Where published: Nature
Global warming is causing Siberian lakes to bubble methane, a greenhouse gas, into the atmosphere at an alarming rate, scientists say. Because methane in the atmosphere warms the planet, the Russian pools are intensifying the climate change that boosted their belching in the first place. It all adds up to a feedback loop in which warming begets even more warming.
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2006-08-16

Hurricane Intensity

Florida State
Lead author: James Elsner
Where published: American Geophysical Union
Climate change is affecting the intensity of Atlantic hurricanes, and hurricane damage likely will continue to increase because of greenhouse warming ... future hurricane hazard mitigation efforts should reflect that hurricane damage will continue to increase, in part, due to greenhouse warming
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2006-08-15

Undersea Methane

University of California Santa Barbara
Lead author: Ira Leifer
Where published: Global Biogeochemical Cycles
If the world continues to get warmer, vast amounts of methane gas trapped in ice under the sea could belch up and worsen climate change ... The study measured the amount of methane that escaped to the atmosphere ... It found that virtually all of the methane escaping from the deep water reached the atmosphere, countering some theories that methane seeps out in tiny bubbles that harmlessly dissolve in the ocean ... rising temperatures could warm the oceans, creating a feedback loop
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2006-08-11

Greenland Ice Melting

University of Texas
Lead author: Byron Tapley
Where Published: Science Magazine
New data shows that Greenland's ice sheets are melting faster than before. Researchers interpreted the data from NASA satellites ... this melting will disrupt the ocean current in the northern hemisphere, which in turn will change the global climate system
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2006-08-03

Increasing Methane Levels

Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement
Lead author: P. Bousquet
Where published: Nature
Methane is an important greenhouse gas, and its atmospheric concentration has nearly tripled since pre-industrial times ... Remarkably, this growth rate has decreased markedly since the early 1990s, and the level of methane has remained relatively constant since 1999, leading to a downward revision of its projected influence on global temperatures ... Since 1999, however, they indicate that anthropogenic emissions of methane have risen again.
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2006-07-06

Increasing Wildfires

Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of Arizona
Lead author: Dan Cayan
The increase in the number of large western wildfires in recent years may be a result of global warming ... part of the increase may be attributed to natural fluctuations, evidence also links it to the effects of human-induced climate warming
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Seawater Chemistry Altered

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Lead authors: Richard Feely, Joan Kleypas
Human activities, chiefly the burning of fossil fuels, have upset a natural balance in ocean acidity ... We have very clear evidence, and there is no doubt this is occurring ... Ice core measurements show that oceans have not been as acidic as they now are for at least 650,000 years, and probably millions of years beyond
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2006-06-27

Abrupt Warming

Ohio State
Lead author: Lonnie G. Thompson
The warming around Earth's tropical belt is a signal suggesting that the "climate system has exceeded a critical threshold," which has sent tropical-zone glaciers in full retreat and will melt them completely "in the near future"
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2006-06-26

Increased Hurricanes

National Center for Atmospheric Research
Lead authors: Kevin Trenberth, Dennis Shea
Where published: Geophysical Research Letters
Global warming provided much of the ocean heat that fueled last year's record-setting hurricane season ... global warming accounted for nearly half of the above-normal ocean heating that fed 15 Atlantic hurricanes ... Natural climate cycles were only a minor factor in the excess warming
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2006-06-22

Warmest in 400 Years

National Academy of Science
Chair: Gerald R. North
sufficient evidence from tree rings, boreholes, retreating glaciers, and other "proxies" of past surface temperatures to say with a high level of confidence that the last few decades of the 20th century were warmer than any comparable period in the last 400 years ... scientists' reconstructions of Northern Hemisphere surface temperatures for the past thousand years are generally consistent ... multiple lines of evidence supporting the conclusion that current warming is occurring in response to human activities
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2006-06-15

Thawing Permafrost

Russian Academy of Sciences, University of Florida
Lead authors: Sergey Zimov, Edward Schuur
Where Published: Science Magazine
Thawing permafrost in the Arctic could play a role in fueling global warming ... The reservoir is very large and dangerous ... frozen soils across a large swath of Siberia and Alaska hold nearly 500 billion tons (454 billion metric tons) of carbon—or two-thirds current atmospheric levels.
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2006-05-31

Hurricane Frequency & Strength

MIT, Penn State
Lead authors: Kerry A. Emanuel, Michael E. Mann
Where published: Eos
Human-induced climate change, rather than naturally occurring ocean cycles, may be responsible for the recent increases in the frequency and strength of North Atlantic hurricanes ... North Atlantic sea surface temperature appears to be controlled largely by radiative forcing, which has changed over the past century mainly owing to sulfate aerosol pollution and greenhouse gas increases
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2006-05-26

Warming Underestimated Due to Feedback Loop

Wageningen University, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research
Lead author: Marten Scheffer
Where published: Geophysical Research Letters
climate change estimates for the next century may have substantially underestimated the potential magnitude of global warming. They say that actual warming due to human fossil fuel emissions may be 15-to-78 percent higher than warming estimates that do not take into account the feedback mechanism involving carbon dioxide and Earth's temperature.
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2006-05-22

Greenhouse Gas Feedback Loops

Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (DOE) / UC Berkeley
Lead authors: Margaret Torn, John Harte
Where published: Geophysical Research Letters
global climate change can set-off positive feedback loops in nature which amplify warming and cooling trends ... able to quantify the feedback implied by past increases in natural carbon dioxide and methane gas levels. Their results point to global temperatures at the end of this century that may be significantly higher than current climate models are predicting.
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2006-05-03

China Glaciers Retreating

Chinese Academy of Sciences
Lead author: Dong Guangrong
Glaciers on China's Qinghai-Tibet plateau are shrinking by seven per cent a year because of global warming ... four decades of data from 681 Chinese weather stations, concludes that global warming is to blame.
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Pacific Wind Circulation

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Lead author: Gabriel Vecchi
Where published: Nature
Global warming caused by human activity has begun to dampen an important wind circulation pattern over the Pacific Ocean, and that could alter climate and the marine food chain ... simulations that consider only natural influences fail to produce the observed slowdown
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2006-05-02

Surface/Atmosphere Discrepancy Resolved

U.S. Climate Change Science Program
Lead author: Thomas Karl
there is no longer a discrepancy in the rate of global average temperature increase for the surface compared with higher levels in the atmosphere. This discrepancy had previously been used to challenge the validity of climate models used to detect and attribute the causes of observed climate change ... The evidence continues to support a substantial human impact on global temperature increases.
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2006-03-31

Antarctica Warming

British Antarctic Survey
Author: John Turner
Where published: Science Magazine
A new analysis of the past 30 years of records from nine research stations, including Amundsen-Scott at the South Pole, reveals that the air above the entirety of Antarctica has warmed by as much as 0.70 degree Celsius per decade during the winter months ... warming trend is consistent across data from multiple stations run by multiple countries using multiple types of instruments.
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2006-03-23

Glacier Retreat & Sea Level

University of Arizona
Author: Jonathan Overpeck
Where published: Science Magazine
Water from melting ice sheets and glaciers is gushing into the world's oceans much faster than previously thought possible ... The unexpected deluge is raising global sea levels, which scientists say could eventually submerge island nations, flood cities, and expose millions of coastal residents to destructive storm surges.
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2006-03-13

Air Pollution Warming the Arctic

NASA Goddard Center
Author: Drew Shindell
Where published: American Geophysical Union, Journal of Geophysical Research
NASA scientists have found that a major form of global air pollution involved in summertime "smog" has also played a significant role in warming the Arctic.
...
According to this new research, ozone was responsible for one-third to half of the observed warming trend in the Arctic during winter and spring. Ozone is transported from the industrialized countries in the Northern Hemisphere to the Arctic quite efficiently during these seasons.
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2006-03-02

Antarctica Ice Retreat

University of Colorodo, NASA, GRACE
Authors: Isabella Velicogna, John Wahr
Where published: Science Magazine
This comprehensive study found the ice sheet's mass has decreased significantly from 2002 to 2005.
...
The estimated mass loss was enough to raise global sea level about 1.2 millimeters
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2006-02-28

Greenhouse Gas Release

University of California Santa Cruz
Author: James Zachos
Human activities are releasing greenhouse gases more than 30 times faster than the rate of emissions that triggered a period of extreme global warming in the Earth's past.
...
Compounding this concern is the possibility that higher temperatures could retard ocean mixing, further reducing the ocean's capacity to absorb carbon dioxide. This could have the kind of "positive feedback" effect that climate researchers worry about: reduced absorption, leaving more carbon dioxide in the air, causing more warming.
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2006-02-17

Models Underestimate Future Warming

Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution
Lead author: Karen Bice
Where published: Paleoceanography, American Geophysical Union
Scientists have found evidence that tropical Atlantic Ocean temperatures may have once reached 107°F (42°C)—about 25°F (14°C) higher than ocean temperatures today and warmer than a hot tub. The surprisingly high ocean temperatures, the warmest estimates to date for any place on Earth, occurred millions of year ago when carbon dioxide levels in Earth’s atmosphere were also high, but researchers say they may be an indication that greenhouse gases could heat the oceans in the future much more than currently anticipated. The study suggests that climate models underestimate future warming.
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2006-02-10

Significance of 20th Century Warming

University of East Anglia
Lead author: Timothy Osborn, Keith Briffa
Where published: Science

The most significant and longest duration feature during the last 1200 years is the geographical extent of warmth in the middle to late 20th century. Positive anomalies during 890 to 1170 and negative anomalies during 1580 to 1850 are consistent with the concepts of a Medieval Warm Period and a Little Ice Age, but comparison with instrumental temperatures shows the spatial extent of recent warmth to be of greater significance than that during the medieval period.

abstract

2006-01-26

Arctic Ice & Aerosols

Scripps Institute of Oceanography, Brookhaven National Laboratory, US Dept of Energy
Author: Dan Lubin
Where published: Nature Magazine
Enhanced aerosol concentrations increase the amount of thermal energy emitted by many Arctic clouds... The Arctic is showing the first unmistakable signs of climate warming caused by human activities, in the form of rapidly retreating and thinning sea ice
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2006-01-18

Greenhouse Gas Levels

University of Bergen
Author: Thomas Stocker
Current levels of the greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide and methane, are higher now than they have ever been in 650,000 years
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